With daily ATR's falling on average 15% across most of the majors and the crosses, along with several inside days, the price action chop fest has begun as the markets digest the Himalayan sell-offs, we have witnessed over the last few months.

This was intimated by how the intraday Ichimoku Clouds have gotten very finicky, like college students on triple espressos waiting to take their final exams.

Taking a look at the chart below, we can see how the Clouds or 'Kumo' have started the flipping contrast. Notice how the white portion of the cloud goes from top to bottom to top Mexican jumping bean style all over the charts for the last several days.



Remember according to Ichimoku theory, the cloud represents support and resistance levels. The thicker the cloud, the thicker the support/resistance it should offer. If its constantly flipping from thick to thin, then that basically is communicating an opportunity is right around the corner for the pair to reverse instead of continuing on in any particular direction.

Thus, if you are looking to catch any substantial move, the floor might drop right out from under you at any moment. This requires a more nimble trading approach as the flipping of the cloud results from the price action being direction less or zombie like bouncing from pillar to post looking for fresh meat. When I see this kind of chart formation, I generally result to the following tactical methods:

1) Drill down to smaller time frames (i.e. 1 or 5 minute charts) *we only suggest doing this if you've had practice/success at these levels and are choosing pairs with smaller spreads.

2) Super-size the time frames up to the larger parameters, aka the 4-hour or daily charts. This will create a pseudo-smoothing method and help one to see the larger ranges in play and play for rejections off the Bollinger Bands or 20EMA's with correlating flat Momentum readings (12 period.)

3) The last option is to stay out which has been my more enjoyable method besides the 1min time frames. Sometimes, there just are not too many ladies for me to dance with on the dance floor. When that happens, I usually re-evaluate whether I am in the right environment or or whether I want to dance at all. I do Tango dancing so if there are no ladies around, then I'm generally not dancing. There will always be another Tango Milonga to go to and there will always be another trade in the markets.

Remember the markets have a close relative called Las Vegas, and you want to make sure you are not always playing hands just because you have time and money to play. In the same fashion, you want to pick your games, tables and times to play where you are most likely to succeed. Based upon the current price action, this trader suggests smaller targets, trading pairs with tighter spreads, perhaps using Bollinger Bands and pivots if you are looking for a rejection play, and being more selective.

The chart below gives an example of such plays using the Bollinger Bands on the 1hr charts.



Chris Capre is the Founder of Second Skies LLC which specializes in Trading Systems, Private Mentoring and Advisory services. He has worked for one of the largest retail brokers in the FX market (FXCM) and is now the Fund Manager for White Knight Investments (www.whiteknightfxi.com/index.html). For more information about his services or his company, visit www.2ndskies.com.

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Finding A Forex Broker India-00-2760


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No matter if you are Forex Trading in India or Forex Trading in Australia, Forex trading can be risky, but it does have huge potential for you to either make a lot of money or lose a lot of money. If you have been around the market awhile you will realize that not all Forex Brokers are equal, and in fact some border being just plain rip off merchants. This can be a major turn off for many new investors, the fear of being ripped off by a Forex Broker.

So how can you find a Great Forex Broker if you are trading From India? The great news is that there are some awesome forex brokers in the market. A good place to start is finding Forex Brokers as a referral or through a company that knows a lot about forex brokers. Recently the CFD FX REPORTresearched all the Forex Brokers and have found who they believe to be the best.

Now if you don't feel comfortable with that and you want to do all the hard work of researching brokers yourself, then here is a list of things to look about when looking for a great Forex Broker.

1. Find and validated the companies reputation- See what license they hold 2. Make sure they are tied to Forex legitmatly 3. If the company has just started stay away, they maybe fly by nighter 4. What sort of spreads do they offer 5. Do they offer stop losses? 6. Do they requite your orders? If the do stay away 7. What is the slippage? 8. Where is your money held? If it is not through a reputable bank stay away

Most importantly whatever broker you start with, start off small, test the waters these are just some of the research that CFD FX REPORTuse when looking for a Great Forex Broker.



About the Author
The CFD FX REPORT is a real time trading tool that offers clients free trading reports, with trading ideas, stock market and forex market education as well helping them with. Also if you are looking for a Forex Broker, then feel free to visit our broker section as we recently reviewed all the forex brokers and have found the best on the market.

1 comment:

  1. "Drill down to smaller time frames (i.e. 1 or 5 minute charts) "

    I am not sure about smaller time frames as 1 or 5 minutes. Smaller frames often lead to bad trades. First what you have to check is 4 hour and daily chart. Thay are must important for a day trader.

    Great article, by the way!

    Cheers,

    Nebojsa
    http://forexobroker.com

    ReplyDelete